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Market Outlook December 7th - December 11th

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Market Outlook

- US : US indices traded up last week. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones reached a new high for the year. Shares in the Real Estate (+9.28%), Semiconductors (+7.28%) and Utilities (+3.86%) sectors helped the market trade up. Shares in the Consumer Services (-0.82%), Food & Staples Retail. (-0.86%) and Energy (-1.47%) sectors fell WoW however. Technically, indices may continue to trade up but the momentum is weak.

- EUROPE : European indices rose last week driven by gains in the Travel & Leisure (+4.69%), Construction & Materials (+4.63%) and Chemicals (+4.59%) sectors. Technically, the outlook remains uncertain around the current level with the 250/52 area on the Stoxx 600 index a key level to break for further upside.

December 7th - December 11th

Market Round up

 

Weekly chg (%)

Last

Dow Jones

.8

10388.9

Nasdaq 100

1.5

1791.9

Dax Xetra

3.4

5817.7

Cac 40

4

3828.2

Foreign Exchange

Euro/dollar : The pair is on the upside and is challenging its resistance, the RSI is turning up and advocates for further advance. LONG above 1.4450 towards 1.5250 & 1.58.

Dollar/yen : The pair has broken below its strong support and remains under pressure. SHORT @ 92.3 with 84.80 or even 82.50 in sight.

 

Company preview

Autozone (USD 152.08 ; 1.35% ; AZO ; AZO.N)
Tuesday, Autozone, the US specialty retailer of automotive replacement parts and accessories, is expected to announce 1Q EPS of $2.66 vs $2.23 a year ago on sales of $1.58bln vs around $1.48bln. From a technical view, the Co remains well on the upside following a breakout of a MT bearish channel, we expect further rise to $160 and $168 in extension.

Stagecoach Group (GBp 154.4 ; 6.93% ; SGC ; SGC.L)
On Wednesday, Stagecoach Group may unveil 1H pre-tax profit of appx. £65m vs £100.7m a year earlier on revenue of £1.07bln, almost unchanged YoY. Last month, the Co said profit since April 30 was in line with its forecasts. In addition, the Co's price target was raised to 150p from 130p at Goldman Sachs. Technically, the stock has just escaped on the upside from a MT declining trend line. Above 150p, we expect a further bounce to 160p and then to 165p in the forthcoming days.

Elekta AB (SEK 162 ; 1.89% ; EKTAB ; 0)
On Thursday, Elekta is expected to deliver 2Q net income of appx. SK130m compared to SK59m a year earlier on sales of SK1.7bln vs SK1.47bln. Last week, the Co was downgraded to "hold" from "buy" at Standard & Poor's. From a technical point of view, the stock remains well positively oriented, backed by a rising 20D MA with a steep slope. In addition, the technical indicator are still on the upside, without displaying any reversal signals, calling for a further up move to 170.5 at first.

Costco Wholesale (USD 59.19 ; -1.4% ; COST ; COST.O)
The same day in the US, Costco Wholesale, the US warehouse club, may report 1Q EPS of $0.59 compared to $0.66 a year ago on sales of $17.1bln vs $16.4bln. Early this month, the Co announced November comparable-store sales up 6%, but missing a 7.4% increase expected by analysts. November net sales increased 9% YoY to $6bln. Technically, the stock is still under pressure below a key resistance level at $61. We are cautiously negative to see further downside to test the $57 support in the coming days.

National Semiconductor (USD 15.45 ; 6.77% ; NSM ; NSM.N)
Thursday, National Semiconductor could unveil 2Q EPS of $0.15 vs $0.26 a year ago on sales of $335m vs $422m. Recently, the Co's price target was cut to $12 ("underperform") from $17 ("neutral") at BofA-ML and was also lowered to $20 from $23 at Citigroup. From a chartist point of view, the stock might be well forming an Inverse H&S pattern and started to accelerate on the upside after a breakout of the neckline at $14.6. Hence, further upside seems more likely to challenge $16 and $16.75.

Selection of those events which may affect the stock prices of international Large Caps

Corporate Calendar December 7th - December 11th

Date

Market

Company

Event

Monday, December 7th

   

No major earnings expected

 

Tuesday, December 8th

 

US

Brown Forman (B)

2nd-Quarter results

 

US

Autozone

1st-Quarter results

 

US

Kroger

3rd-Quarter results

 

US

H&R Block

2nd-Quarter results

Wednesday, December 9th

 

UK

Stagecoach Group

1st-Half results

 

US

Pall

1st-Quarter results

Thursday, December 10th

 

SP

Inditex

3rd-Quarter results

 

SW

Elekta AB

2nd-Quarter results

 

US

Costco Wholesale

1st-Quarter results

 

US

Ciena

4th-Quarter results

 

US

National Semiconductor

2nd-Quarter results

Friday, December 11th

   

No major earnings expected

 

Economic Calendar (CET) December 7th - December 11th

Date

Market

Economic data

Period

Expected

Last

Monday, December 7th

21:00:00

US

Consumer Credit (Bln)

OCT

-6.523

-14.797

Tuesday, December 8th

   

No major economic data expected

     

Wednesday, December 9th

16:00:00

US

Wholesale Inventories

OCT

-0.5%

-0.9%

16:30:00

US

Crude Oil Inventories (WoW chg)

W48

NA

2091

Thursday, December 10th

14:30:00

US

Trade Balance (Bln)

OCT

-37.067

-36.472

14:30:00

US

Initial Jobless Claims (Thsd)

W48

NA

457

20:00:00

US

Monthly Budget Satement (Bln)

NOV

-131.7

-176.364

Friday, December 11th

14:30:00

US

Retail Sales

NOV

0.6%

1.4%

14:30:00

US

Retail Sales less Autos

NOV

0.6%

0.2%

16:00:00

US

U. of Michigan Confidence

NOV

69

67.4

16:00:00

US

Business Inventories

OCT

-0.3%

-0.4%


This document does not constitute financial advice. If you require such advice, you should seek appropriate professional advice. Internaxx accepts no responsibility for the content of this newsletter. Investors are not authorized to copy, reproduce, duplicate, sell, resell or exploit any portion of the Newsletter for their own commercial purposes. In that case, Internaxx will immediately end the subscription.

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