Market Outlook - WALL STREET: US indices rose last week. The S&P reached its highest level since September 2008. The Fed announced its will to purchase a further $600bln of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of 2Q 2011, at a pace of about $75bln / mth. The Committee will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings and will regularly review the pace of its securities purchases and the overall size of the asset-purchase program in light of incoming information. On the employment front, weekly jobless claims bounced to 457k (442k expected) from 437k (revised higher from 434k) however, October change in nonfarm payrolls rose to 151k (60k expected) vs -41k in September (revised higher from -95k). Then, unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.6%, as expected. On the real estate market front, September pending home sales fell 1.8% MoM (+3% expected) vs +4.4% in August (revised higher from +4.3%). Regarding sectors, automobile (mainly Ford) jumped 11% during the week while banks and diversified financial added 9% and 7.66% respectively. Technically, the S&P 500 is well directed and is expected to reach 1240 and 1304 in the coming days. - EUROPE: In the UK, the FTSE 100 added 3.53% during the week and was the best performing European equity index. The Bank of England maintained its £200bln asset purchase program and let its main rate unchanged at 0.5%. On the economic front, October PMI manufacturing growth index unexpectedly rose to 54.9 (vs 53 expected) from 53.3 and PMI Service to 53.2 (52.6 expected) from 52.8 whereas, PMI construction fell to 51.6 (vs. 53.0 expected) from 53.8. Technically, the FTSE 100 is seen pushing higher towards 5960 and 6039. In the rest of Europe, the Ibex fell 3.56% and the FTSE MIB 1.19% while the STXE 50 ended up 2.45%. The ECB let its main rate unchanged at 1%. Basic resources stocks rocketed 8.43% while retail stocks declined 1.55%. Technically, on the Stoxx 600, next up targets are set at 275 and 280. | November 8th - November 12th | | Market Round up | | | Weekly chg (%) | Last | | Dow Jones | 2.9 | 11444.1 | | Nasdaq 100 | 2.9 | 2186.7 | | Dax Xetra | 2.3 | 6754.2 | | Cac 40 | 2.2 | 3916.7 | | | | Foreign Exchange | | Euro/dollar : the pair is shaping a bullish flag, the daily RSI is supported by a rising trend line. LONG above 1.33 towards 1.4250 & 1.46. Dollar/yen : the pair remains within a bearish channel. SHORT @ 83.8 with 79 or even 78.15 in sight. |
| Company preview | | Vodafone (GBp 173.9 ; 2.38% ; VOD ; VOD.L) On Tuesday, Vodafone Group, the UK mobile telecommunications giant, is expected to release 1H pre-tax profit of £5.5bln vs £4.8bln on revenues of £22.3bln vs £21.8bln. Last week, the Group could plan to sell some of its shares in overseas mobile operators, according to Financial Times' report. Recently, the Co's price target was raised to 215p from 200p at Deutsche Bank. Technically, the stock price remains on the upside within its MT bullish channel. Above 165, look for a further bounce to 180p & 200p in extension. E.ON (EUR 22.62 ; 0.53% ; EOAN ; EONG.DE) On Wednesday, E.ON could announce 3Q net income of around E1bln compared with E1.8bln a year ago. Recently, the Co could be in talks to sell its UK power network for £3.5bln (Sunday Times). Earlier, the Co may consider buying GDF Suez's 25% stake in EDF's proposed nuclear plant at Penly, France. From a technical view, the price consolidates above its key horizontal support at E22, as long as this level holds on the downside, a further rise is more likely to E24 and then to E24.6. Cisco Systems (USD 24.26 ; 6.12% ; CSCO ; CSCO.O) The same day in the US, Cisco Systems may publish 1Q EPS of around $0.4 compared to $0.3 a year earlier on sales of $10.7bln vs $9bln. Earlier, the Co launched a videoconferencing system to let consumers carry out video chats from high-definition, Internet-connected. Last week, the Co's price target was raised to $25 from $24 at UBS. Graphically, the stock has just broken above its resistance at $24 with a bullish gap. Since the price remains well supported by a rising 20D MA, a new leg up should occur to $25 and $26 as a next target. Siemens (EUR 83.9 ; 2.22% ; SIE ; SIEGn.DE) Thursday, Siemens is expected to deliver FY net profit of E5bln compared with E2.3bln a year ago on revenues of E74.7bln vs E76.6bln. Recently, the Co would provide IT-services support to London's planned electric vehicle-charging network through 2013. In addition, the Co won contract worth $466m from Amtrak to construct 70 electric locomotives in the US. From a chartist view, the stock is currently testing its nearest resistance at E85. A ST consolidation, therefore, cannot be ruled out before any further upsides to E88.5. EADS (EUR 18.4 ; -2.57% ; EAD ; EAD.PA) On Friday, EADS may release 3Q net income of appx. E95m compared with a loss of E87m a year ago on revenues of E10.8bln vs E9.5bln. Last week, China Aviation Supplies signed with Airbus for a total of 102 aircraft of which 66 are new orders, consisting of 50 A320 Family aircraft, six A330s and ten A350 XWBs. From a technical point of view, the stock price gapped down last Thursday and is still under pressure below E19.5. Hence, a further pullback is highly expected towards E17 in the forthcoming days. Selection of those events which may affect the stock prices of international Large Caps | |
| | Corporate Calendar November 8th - November 12th | | Date | Market | Company | Event | | Monday, November 8th | | | AS | Andritz | 3rd-Quarter results | | | GE | Commerzbank | 3rd-Quarter results | | | US | Sysco | 1st-Quarter results | | | US | Frontier Communications | 3rd-Quarter results | | | US | Priceline.com | 3rd-Quarter results | | Tuesday, November 9th | | | DE | Carlsberg | 3rd-Quarter results | | | IT | Enel | 3rd-Quarter results | | | UK | Vodafone | 1st-Half results | | | US | Marsh & McLennan | 3rd-Quarter results | | | US | Tyco International | 4th-Quarter results | | | SZ | Adecco | 3rd-Quarter results | | Wednesday, November 10th | | | FR | Crédit Agricole | 3rd-Quarter results | | | GE | E.ON | 3rd-Quarter results | | | GE | Allianz | 3rd-Quarter results | | | UK | Sainsbury | 1st-Half results | | | US | Cisco Systems | 1st-Quarter results | | | US | Sara Lee | 1st-Quarter results | | Thursday, November 11th | | | GE | Siemens | annual results | | | GE | RWE | 3rd-Quarter results | | | SP | Telefonica | 3rd-Quarter results | | | US | Viacom B | 4th-Quarter results | | | US | Kohl's | 3rd-Quarter results
| | | US | Walt Disney | 4th-Quarter results | | Friday, November 12th | | | FR | EADS | 3rd-Quarter results | | | IT | Banco Popolare | 3rd-Quarter results | | | US | Agilent Technologies | 4th-Quarter results | | | US | Dr Horton | 4th-Quarter results | | | US | JC Penney | 3rd-Quarter results | | | SZ | Richemont | 1st-Half results | | | |
| | Economic Calendar (CET) November 8th - November 12th | | Date | Market | Economic data | Period | Expected | Last | | Monday, November 8th | | 08:00:00 | GE | Current Account (Bln) | SEP | 9.3 | 4.6 | | 08:00:00 | GE | Trade Balance (Bln) | SEP | 11.6 | 9 | | 08:00:00 | GE | Imports (MoM) | SEP | 0.5% | 0.9% | | 08:00:00 | GE | Exports (MoM) | SEP | 0.9% | -0.4% | | 12:00:00 | GE | Industrial Production (MoM) | SEP | 0.4% | 1.7% | | Tuesday, November 9th | | | UK | GDP Estimate (NIESR) | OCT | NA | 0.5% | | 08:00:00 | GE | Consumer Price Index (MoM) | SEP | 0.1% | 0.1% | | 08:45:00 | FR | Trade Balance (Mln) | SEP | NA | -4932 | | 10:30:00 | UK | Industrial Production (MoM) | SEP | 0.4% | 0.2% | | 10:30:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production (MoM) | SEP | 0.2% | 0.3% | | 16:00:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories | SEP | 0.7% | 0.8% | | Wednesday, November 10th | | 07:30:00 | FR | Consumer Price Index (MoM) | OCT | 0.2% | -0.1% | | 08:00:00 | GE | Wholesale Price Index (MoM) | OCT | NA | 1% | | 14:30:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims (Thsd) | W44 | 451 | 457 | | 14:30:00 | US | Trade Balance (Bln) | SEP | -44.9 | -46.3 | | 16:30:00 | US | Crude Oil Inventories (WoW chg) | W44 | NA | 1950 | | 20:00:00 | US | Monthly Budget Satement (Bln) | OCT | -152.1 | -34.5 | | Friday, November 12th | | 07:30:00 | FR | GDP (QoQ) | 2Q | 0.5% | 0.7% | | 11:00:00 | EC | Euro-Zone: Industrial Production (MoM) | SEP | 0.2% | 1.2% | | 11:00:00 | EC | Euro-Zone: GDP (QoQ) | 2Q | 0.4% | 1% | | 15:55:00 | US | U. of Michigan Confidence | OCT | 69.5 | 67.7 | | | | This document does not constitute financial advice. If you require such advice, you should seek appropriate professional advice. Internaxx accepts no responsibility for the content of this newsletter. Investors are not authorized to copy, reproduce, duplicate, sell, resell or exploit any portion of the Newsletter for their own commercial purposes. In that case, Internaxx will immediately end the subscription. | |  | Content provided by:  |
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