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Can hedge funds remove portfolio risk?
Featured
product – defensive funds of hedge funds
The normal selling point
for hedge funds is that they will make large amounts of cash even
in terrible markets. Typically, a Saville Row-suited salesman will
dangle the prospect of 25 per cent a year in front of the faces
of rich clients, who will then gladly hand over $500,000 to be gambled
on the markets. The fact that hedge funds explode alarmingly often
doesn’t seem to dampen the ardour – or some would say
the greed – of those rich enough to play the game. Funds of
hedge funds have been particularly popular. The 61 largest (with
more than $1 billion in assets under management) attracted a staggering
$33 billion in 2002, according to InvestHedge research.
But now along
comes a different concept of the hedge fund, perhaps one that should
have been the main selling point behind the hedging strategy all
along: the defensive hedge fund.
The idea is, given that hedge funds use techniques that can neutralise
the effect of falling markets (short selling, which we’ll
explain in a minute), instead of seeing them as cash-cows to make
you instantly rich(er), why not use hedging strategies as a way
of protecting your money – defensive hedging?
What
on earth do hedge funds do anyway?
Before we look
at the actual funds under consideration, a quick lesson in what
hedge funds do, and what short selling is, might be useful.
Normal investment
funds simply buy likely-looking stocks in the hope that they will
rise in value, and pay out chunky dividends. This is called being
‘long’ the market.
The thing that distinguishes hedge funds is that they are allowed
to ‘short’ the market as well as to go ‘long’.
This means that they are allowed to execute a neat little trick.
If a stock market is falling, they can borrow stocks from specialised
stock lending companies, sell the stock immediately at, say, $10,
wait for the price of the stock to fall and buy the stock back at
the lower price of, say, $7. They then hand the newly bought back
stock to the lender at the agreed time and pocket the difference
– $3 in this example.
This technique
is called hedging because it hedges away any risk that a fund’s
‘long’ component runs from falling markets. Using this
technique, along with other strategies like taking huge bets on
currency movements, hedge funds in this mould were seen as big money-making
opportunities, although pretty risky as well.
And that’s
been the snag. Hedge funds just are inherently riskier than other
funds, despite being able to work in falling markets, because they
don’t just stop there. They have been in the business of making,
and boasting about, massive returns, by engaging in what is effectively
a high form of betting – currency speculation, as already
mentioned. As any neophyte investor knows, you only get big returns
by running commensurately greater risks. As a result, these funds
have been open only to the rich, asking for initial stakes of many
hundreds of thousands of dollars, or even millions. And fair enough,
you might think.
But what if the perfectly respectable hedging technique –
the risk-reducing bit – were emphasised instead of the ‘we’ll
make you big bucks by punting’ aspect of hedge funds? And
what if access to such a fund could be got for considerably less
than previously?
The
defence starts here
That, in a nutshell,
is what funds of hedge funds have been selling themselves as for
the last few years. Funds of hedge funds have usually been marketed
as cheaper and slightly more risk-free ways into normal hedge funds.
For a few tens of thousands of pounds instead of hundreds, they
have invested in a range of underlying hedge funds. But the selling
point has been the same: get access to higher than usual returns.
Absolute Fund
Management, a UK-based fund of hedge funds, is now touting itself
as a defensive fund of hedge funds manager. And the idea it is trying
to put across is that investing in its range of hedge funds will
be essentially a capital-preservation strategy, not necessarily
a way of making big returns.
It makes at
least surface sense. As a hedge fund manager you ought, at least,
to be able to avoid a crushing on the downside. And Absolute is
asking for a minimum investment of $100,000, which is hardly peanuts,
but an easier way in than a straight hedge fund. But wait for the
killer marketing point: up to one third of an investor’s portfolio
should be invested in Absolute’s type of fund, according to
the firm. Christopher Aldous, a director of Absolute, says that
recent experience of tumbling markets ought to make investors sufficiently
wary of straight equity and bond investment to shift that much of
their portfolios into a market-safe fund of hedge funds like his.
Not everybody
is convinced, though. Iain Jenkins, managing editor of InvestHedge,
the specialist publication for the fund of hedge fund community,
says that funds of funds have proved very effective at holding on
to investor capital in the down markets of the past few years but
many in the industry are now worrying about whether they have become
too obsessed about risk control and have forgotten about generating
returns.
“Funds
of funds have been able to hang on to capital over the last few
years. Very few of them lost any money and most made steady returns
of around the risk-free rate in 2001 and 2002,” he says. “Most
of their investors were very happy with the way funds of funds protected
them but are now watching equity markets race away and wondering
if they are going to get left behind. A number of funds of funds
are now looking to inject more risk into their portfolios and a
number are adding in leveraged vehicles.”
Absolute chooses
the underlying hedge funds it invests in on the basis of a low risk,
market-neutral approach. That means, says Aldous, that it will not
invest in hedge funds using some of the dodgier strategies –
so-called ‘global strategy’ funds, for instance, which
are the ones that take huge bets on currency fluctuations. But while
it might make some sense to have a biggish hedging component in
your portfolio, surely nobody would be advised to hand over anything
like that that proportion to a single company?
Suppose the
most you would want to give to a single hedging firm is, say, 10–15
per cent of your portfolio. Since Absolute is asking for $100,000,
that means their strategy – which, again, is not an implausible
one – is effectively only available to someone with a million
dollars or thereabouts to invest. Back to hedging being a rich man’s
sport.

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