Bonds
have taken a rough ride in 2003 but they can and should be
part of a balanced portfolio, as they work well to reduce
risk and volatility
Some
figures demonstrate that high-yield bonds in particular
have proved resilient under all market conditions.
Bernard Deliege, manager of the Fortis L Fund Bond
High Yield points to the fact that since 1986 to date
US high-yields have returned an average of 9.5 per
cent compared to 9.4 per cent achieved on the S&P
500. Volatility of the latter on an annual basis is
16 per cent compared to a bond figure of 7.2 per cent.
This is despite a disastrous fall this year.
These results are seen by Deliege as showing that
high-yield bonds have a low correlation to US Treasuries,
and their lack of volatility compared to investment-grade
corporate bonds means they should be included in a
well diversified portfolio.
Deliege reveals that his fund manages to exclude most
‘distressed’ bonds that are seen as more
equity-like to concentrate on more fixed-income-like
‘par bonds’. “The equity-like part
of the universe can be useful on a tactical basis
as sometimes investors can benefit from strong rallies.
However, looking at long-term statistics, par bonds
have returned an average of 9.7 per cent annually
with a volatility of 6 per cent, whereas distressed
bonds have only returned 4.4 per cent with a volatility
of 20 per cent.”
Deliege says that the crucial part is to manage the
bonds actively, as they can change characteristics
over time from fixed-income-like to equity-like. The
fund aims largely to avoid this latter segment of
the market to ease investor worries.
The bond markets’ differences with equities
are underlined by the manager, who says they are not
so concerned by profit growth as they are by a company’s
assets, cashflow and liquidity. This means that markets
can perform in tougher conditions. “A company
that has demonstrated that it can survive in low-growth
or even negative market conditions can be a good bond
investment.”
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