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Global warming – You
can bet on it
The
earth is warming up, and many people see this as a very
serious threat to the planet and its inhabitants with
melting glaciers, rising seas and scorching summer heat
waves among the side affects.
Now that chunks of the ice cap
keep falling off, each bit probably raising global sea
levels by a millimetre or so, nobody can afford to be
dismissive of what campaigners went on about for all
those years.
For investors in particular, climate change is a factor
worth of weighty consideration in assembling a portfolio.
However, it seems that either no investor has even thought
about it, or those who have found the idea ridiculous,
questioning the connection between their portfolio of
stocks and shares and greenhouse gasses.
Yet things are happening that should concern everyone
with an investment portfolio. For a start, governments
across the world have been busy passing laws that penalise
companies emitting greenhouse gasses.
Other companies face direct effects from climate changes,
from cement manufacturers to mining companies.
And when it comes to insurance, who is going to reimburse
thousands of Dutch homeowners for their drowned houses,
not to mention the inhabitants of the southern states
of the USA, who are being afflicted by hurricanes like
never before?
It is true that having a good grasp on global warming
could offer benefits to savvy stock pickers.
Businesses well-poised to meet mandates for reducing
carbon emissions, developers of alternate energy sources
and even forward-looking insurers could conceivably
profit from climate-change concern.
The clearest risk that climate change now poses to investors
is in the European utilities sector. New laws have limited
the amount of greenhouse gasses that companies can produce.
Utilities, for example, now have to cut back on burning
greenhouse-gas-emitting fuels, such as coal and oil,
or pay the price.
The regulations which came into effect in January 2005
have driven up wholesale energy prices in Europe and
this has consequently resulted in a price rise for customers.
David Lee, Director of research at Aequos, the market-leading
supplier of information to IFAs, said: “Retail
investors are increasingly interested in understanding
the environmental impacts of their investments and media
coverage such as the BBC’s Climate Chaos season
has reinforced this.”
How are industrial sectors affected?
Consider metals and mining companies. This sector of
the economy is challenged by long-term climate risk
because of its high energy use and its emissions.
For the same reason, rising costs will also affect sectors
like car making, cement production and chemical companies.
Many uncertainties remain about the effect that climate
change will have on companies if global warming continues
along the lines that scientists have predicted it will.
Investors need to examine the action that companies
take and the targets they set to assess if those companies
are working against the long-term risk of climate change.
Assessing risks
Environmental group, Friends of the Earth, reported
that in 2005, 47 per cent of 112 large publicly traded
companies surveyed in the auto, manufacturing, oil and
gas, insurance, utilities and petrochemicals sectors
addressed climate change in securities filings last
year.
According to the report, utilities had the best record,
with 24 out of 25 disclosing climate risks in the previous
year. Property and casualty insurers came in last with
a 15 per cent disclosure rate.
But it has become apparent following recent natural
disasters, that insurance groups are becoming much more
vocal about climate-change-related risks.
Following Hurricane Katrina, figures showed a 15-fold
increase in insured losses from catastrophic weather
events in the past three decades. These losses have
far outstripped premium increases, inflation and population
growth over the same period.
While the catastrophes can’t entirely be blamed
on global warming, it is an undeniable factor.
Climate-minded investors might want to consider the
growing ranks of SRI investment funds that seek out
holdings with an environmentalist mindset. These funds
don’t focus specifically on global-warming-related
investments.
Follow the carbon
Companies operating in nations that signed the Kyoto
Protocol on reducing greenhouse-gas emissions are typically
subject to stricter record-keeping requirements regarding
air pollution.
Carbon emissions are now a financial issue that have
a real price following the introduction of the EU Emissions
Trading Scheme in 2005.
A survey commissioned by Henderson found that under
half of firms traded on the UK FTSE 100 Index disclose
carbon emissions.
Simon Thomas, Chief Executive of Trucost, independent
environmental analysts, said: “For the first time
investors can evaluate how well an investment fund is
managing its carbon emission risk. The results show
that funds with larger Carbon Footprints do not produce
higher returns; that SRI funds do not necessarily lead
to environmentally sound investment…
Investors should look at what fund managers actually
do with respect to the environment, not what they say.”

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